Description

This analysis provides a forecast of KAS prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 0.120423 0.133148 0.146209 0.160589 0.175948 0.191831 0.209471
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 0.105034 0.124812 0.146117 0.170640 0.197958 0.227324 0.261149
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.093559 0.118435 0.146366 0.179732 0.218179 0.260780 0.311231
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.080678 0.108432 0.140823 0.180830 0.228322 0.282328 0.347793
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.068291 0.097356 0.132568 0.177448 0.232199 0.295925 0.374774
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.062652 0.093806 0.132722 0.183584 0.246971 0.322080 0.416467
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.057144 0.089726 0.131632 0.187703 0.258967 0.344785 0.454137
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.051837 0.085301 0.129584 0.190176 0.268614 0.364493 0.488222
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.046664 0.080503 0.126567 0.190986 0.275858 0.381078 0.518479
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.046249 0.082386 0.132520 0.203646 0.298434 0.417021 0.573055
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.042681 0.079279 0.131311 0.206492 0.308138 0.436756 0.607576
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.039867 0.077032 0.131087 0.210510 0.319300 0.458362 0.644595
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.035936 0.072908 0.128202 0.211097 0.326407 0.475570 0.677273
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.034844 0.073278 0.131934 0.221142 0.346595 0.510236 0.733008
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.033802 0.073624 0.135597 0.231151 0.366919 0.545402 0.789905
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.030700 0.070139 0.133151 0.232089 0.374573 0.563796 0.825113
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.026783 0.064795 0.127441 0.227896 0.374812 0.572170 0.847205
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.025640 0.064356 0.129431 0.235157 0.391256 0.602425 0.898330
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.024117 0.063043 0.129890 0.240040 0.404326 0.628227 0.943797
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.022358 0.061086 0.129142 0.242974 0.414563 0.650229 0.984381
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.020410 0.058531 0.127212 0.243933 0.421856 0.668205 1.019691
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 0.020942 0.061118 0.134153 0.258974 0.449995 0.715228 1.094482
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 0.019557 0.059536 0.133773 0.262349 0.460941 0.738513 1.137426